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Original article
How to index venture capital
Key takeaway
- For entrepreneurs: Understanding the venture capital indexing trend could help in strategizing fundraising efforts and aligning with high-performing seed programs like Y Combinator.
- For investors: Venture capital indexing strategies are emerging as a potential solution to access top-tier returns without the need for direct access to oversubscribed top VC funds.
Summary
The article discusses the emerging trend of indexing in venture capital, aiming to democratize access to power law returns typically reserved for top-tier VCs. It explores various approaches to indexing across different stages of venture investing (seed, early-stage, and late-stage/pre-IPO), highlighting the challenges and potential benefits of each. The piece emphasizes that while indexing VC is in its infancy, it represents a promising direction for making venture capital a more accessible and scalable asset class.
Insights
- Venture capital exhibits strong power law dynamics, with top decile VCs delivering IRRs of 35%+ while 50% of VCs deliver DPI of <1.0x.
- Indexing strategies in VC aim to provide broad exposure, transparent methodologies, passive management, and real-time data updates.
- Different stages of VC (seed, early-stage, late-stage) present unique challenges and opportunities for indexing.
- Y Combinator and its affiliated funds represent a form of "beta" for high-quality seed VC investments.
- Early-stage (Series B) investing may be the earliest point where a "true" index strategy can be deployed in VC.
- Late-stage/pre-IPO indices face challenges in delivering top-tier VC returns due to most value accruing at earlier stages and post-IPO performance risks.
- BlackRock's acquisition of Preqin signals a growing interest in indexing private markets.
Implications
- Increased democratization of VC could lead to more capital flowing into the asset class, potentially affecting valuations and deal dynamics.
- Entrepreneurs may need to adapt their fundraising strategies to account for the growing influence of indexed VC investments.
- Traditional VC firms may face pressure to justify their fees and performance against indexed alternatives.